Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 37.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.