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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 34.35% | 24.82% | 40.83% |
| Both teams to score 58.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.86% | 45.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.51% | 67.49% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% | 25.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.63% | 60.37% |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% | 22.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.58% | 55.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 7.94% 1-0 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.35% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-1 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 4.42% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.83% |