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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.52%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
47.75% | 22.24% | 30.01% |
Both teams to score 65.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.49% | 34.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.56% | 56.44% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% | 14.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.63% | 43.37% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.06% | 22.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.28% | 56.71% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 6.52% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 5.78% 3-2 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.92% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-2 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.86% 5-1 @ 1.04% 4-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.31% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 6.71% 0-0 @ 3.43% 3-3 @ 2.09% Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-1 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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