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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 39.43% | 24.53% | 36.04% |
| Both teams to score 59.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.47% | 43.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.08% | 65.92% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% | 22.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.6% | 55.4% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% | 23.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.02% | 57.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% 1-0 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.45% Total : 39.43% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-1 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 3.91% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.06% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.08% Total : 36.04% |