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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 51.36% | 22.33% | 26.32% |
| Both teams to score 62.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.3% | 37.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.06% | 59.94% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.11% | 14.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.75% | 43.25% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% | 26.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.65% | 62.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 6.06% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.97% 4-1 @ 2.89% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.89% 5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.13% Total : 51.36% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 4.02% 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 6.56% 0-1 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 1.5% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.32% |