Hoffenheim
5 - 1
Holstein Kiel

van den Bergh (3' og.), Wahl (31' og.), Stiller (59'), Dabour (72'), Bruun Larsen (84')
Akpoguma (46')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Neumann (47')
Lorenz (68')

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal Second Round clash between Hoffenheim and Holstein Kiel.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Holstein Kiel
42.82%	23.59%	33.58%

Both teams to score 62.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.45%

39.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.1%

61.89%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.18%

18.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.75%

50.25%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.68%

23.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.73%

57.27%

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 42.82%

Holstein Kiel 33.58%

Draw 23.59%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.91% 1-0 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.47% Total : 42.82%	1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 6.49% 0-0 @ 4.39% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.59%	1-2 @ 7.77% 0-1 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.58%