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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Dortmund logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Dortmund

Nkunku (29'), Poulsen (68')
Adams (40'), Poulsen (65'), Szoboszlai (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reus (52')
Bellingham (31'), Reus (31'), Witsel (38'), Meunier (55'), Moukoko (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
40.45%24.14%35.4%
Both teams to score 60.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.25%41.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.85%64.15%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2%20.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54%53.45%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.7%57.29%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 40.45%
    Borussia Dortmund 35.4%
    Draw 24.13%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.71%
1-0 @ 7.62%
2-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-1 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 3.91%
2-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.4%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Dortmund

RB Leipzig
52.6%
Draw
14.3%
Borussia Dortmund
33.1%
154
Head to Head
May 13, 2021 7.45pm
Final
RB Leipzig
1-4
Dortmund
Olmo (71')
Upamecano (45'), Olmo (81')
Sancho (5', 45'), Braut Haaland (28', 87')
Can (15'), Bellingham (25'), Dahoud (50'), Sancho (81'), Hummels (90')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Dortmund
3-2
RB Leipzig
Reus (7'), Sancho (51', 87')
Hummels (74')
Klostermann (63'), Olmo (77')
Haidara (90+1')
Jan 9, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
1-3
Dortmund
Sorloth (90')
Sancho (55'), Braut Haaland (71', 84')
Delaney (32'), Akanji (73')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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