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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 13.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
13.55% | 18.75% | 67.7% |
Both teams to score 51.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.53% | 40.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.14% | 62.85% |
Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.33% | 41.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.85% | 78.15% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.01% | 10.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.74% | 35.25% |
Score Analysis |
Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
1-0 @ 4.01% 2-1 @ 3.87% 2-0 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.25% 3-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.55% | 1-1 @ 8.85% 0-0 @ 4.58% 2-2 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.75% | 0-2 @ 11.16% 0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-3 @ 8.22% 1-3 @ 7.2% 0-4 @ 4.54% 1-4 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-5 @ 2% 1-5 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.74% Other @ 4.07% Total : 67.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 66 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 59 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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