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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
30.84% | 23.54% | 45.62% |
Both teams to score 61.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.61% | 40.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.23% | 62.77% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% | 25.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.87% | 60.13% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.99% | 18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.12% | 48.87% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 7.37% 1-0 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 4.3% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.84% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.32% 0-0 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-1 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 5.26% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.26% 0-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.73% Total : 45.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 66 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 59 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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