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Europa League
Leipzig logo
Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 7, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Atalanta logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Atalanta

Zappacosta (58' og.)
Gvardiol (51'), Halstenberg (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Muriel (17')
Luis Palomino (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between RB Leipzig and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

Last Six:
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Atalanta BC

Last Six:
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: RB Leipzig 1-1 Atalanta BC

 While Leipzig have accumulated 26 Bundesliga points since the turn of the year - more than any other team in the division - Atalanta have managed only three wins during their last 13 league matches. The Bergamo club have struggled to score with their previous ease, but with 18 different players having found the net for them in Serie A this season they can still spring a surprise - particularly being more comfortable on away soil than at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-0 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawAtalanta BC
35.08%28.03%36.88%
Both teams to score 47.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.62%58.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.02%78.98%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49%31.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1%67.9%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62%30.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43%66.56%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 35.08%
    Atalanta BC 36.88%
    Draw 28.03%
RB LeipzigDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 7.61%
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.08%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.57%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 11.4%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 1.8%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 36.88%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Atalanta

RB Leipzig
68.0%
Draw
16.4%
Atalanta BC
15.6%
275
rhs 2.0
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