Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.