| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 38 | 6 | 53 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 27.51% | 23.42% | 49.07% |
| Both teams to score 59.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.13% | 41.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.73% | 64.27% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% | 28.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.96% | 64.03% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.76% | 17.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.46% | 47.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 6.83% 1-0 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 3.89% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.51% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-1 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 7.54% 1-3 @ 5.58% 0-3 @ 4.42% 2-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 2.45% 0-4 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.97% Total : 49.07% |