| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 17 | 59 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
| 56.12% | 22.84% | 21.03% |
| Both teams to score 53.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.26% | 45.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.94% | 68.06% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.89% | 16.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.47% | 45.53% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.13% | 35.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.36% | 72.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.63% 3-1 @ 6.01% 3-0 @ 5.86% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.32% Total : 56.11% | 1-1 @ 10.81% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 5.93% 1-2 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.03% |