| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 37 | 18 | 59 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 6 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 37 | 6 | 52 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 6 | 59 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 37 | 6 | 52 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 5 | 50 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.04%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 51.04% | 23.26% | 25.7% |
| Both teams to score 58.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.38% | 42.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.97% | 65.03% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% | 16.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.26% | 46.75% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% | 30.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.81% | 66.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.21% Total : 51.04% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-1 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.09% Total : 25.7% |