Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 66.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Venezia |
| 66.63% | 19.33% | 14.03% |
| Both teams to score 51.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.91% | 42.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.5% | 64.49% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.27% | 11.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.13% | 36.87% |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58% | 42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.56% | 78.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Venezia |
| 2-0 @ 11.31% 1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 7.01% 4-0 @ 4.33% 4-1 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 3.04% 5-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.63% Total : 66.62% | 1-1 @ 9.16% 0-0 @ 4.93% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.33% | 0-1 @ 4.27% 1-2 @ 3.97% 0-2 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.03% |