Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Genoa |
| 51.81% | 25.57% | 22.62% |
| Both teams to score 47.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.05% | 54.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.77% | 76.23% |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% | 21.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.85% | 54.15% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.49% | 39.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.8% | 76.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 13% 2-0 @ 10.07% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 5.2% 3-1 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.23% Total : 51.81% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 8.39% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 7.79% 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.4% Total : 22.62% |