Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Genoa |
| 58.28% | 22.08% | 19.64% |
| Both teams to score 54.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% | 44.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% | 66.65% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.11% | 14.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.75% | 43.25% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.56% | 36.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.77% | 73.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.84% 3-1 @ 6.31% 3-0 @ 6.25% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 3% 4-0 @ 2.97% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.66% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 10.43% 0-0 @ 5.43% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 5.48% 1-2 @ 5.27% 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.74% Total : 19.64% |