Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 3
Sampdoria

Destro (78')
Ghiglione (84'), Sturaro (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gabbiadini (7'), Caputo (49'), Vanheusden (67' og.)
Thorsby (34'), Chabot (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Sampdoria
30.94%	26.24%	42.82%

Both teams to score 52.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.7%

52.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.01%

73.99%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79%

31.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.44%

67.56%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77%

24.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.42%

58.57%

Score Analysis

Genoa 30.94%

Sampdoria 42.82%

Draw 26.24%

Genoa	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.99% Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.94%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 7.6% 1-3 @ 4.18% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.82%