Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 61.18% | 20.48% | 18.34% |
| Both teams to score 57.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.68% | 61.32% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.69% | 12.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.9% | 38.1% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% | 34.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% | 71.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.38% 1-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 6.93% 3-0 @ 6.55% 3-2 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 3.63% 4-0 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 1.92% 5-1 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.86% Total : 61.18% | 1-1 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 5.25% 0-0 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.48% | 1-2 @ 5.01% 0-1 @ 4.52% 0-2 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.8% Total : 18.34% |