Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
61.18% | 20.48% | 18.34% |
Both teams to score 57.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61% | 39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.68% | 61.32% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.69% | 12.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.9% | 38.1% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.27% | 34.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.54% | 71.46% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.38% 1-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 6.93% 3-0 @ 6.55% 3-2 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 3.63% 4-0 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 1.92% 5-1 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.86% Total : 61.18% | 1-1 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 5.25% 0-0 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.48% | 1-2 @ 5.01% 0-1 @ 4.52% 0-2 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.8% Total : 18.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
17 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 70 | -44 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |