Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 3, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
1 - 1
Porto

Mbemba (61' og.)
Pioli (28'), Tomori (55')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Diaz (6')
Grujic (49'), Mbemba (65'), Vitinha (73'), Conceicao (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Porto
33.8%	25.25%	40.95%

Both teams to score 56.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.8%

47.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.56%

69.43%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17%

26.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88%

62.12%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.08%

22.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.32%

56.68%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 33.8%

Porto 40.95%

Draw 25.24%

AC Milan	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 8.09% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.8%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 9.06% 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-2 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 4.31% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.95%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Porto

AC Milan

75.0%

Draw

12.3%

Porto

12.7%