Champions League
Nov 3, 2021 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Stefano Pioli 28' yellowcard
  • Fikayo Tomori 55' yellowcard
  • Chancel Mbemba 61' goal
  • goal Luis Diaz 6'
  • yellowcard Marko Grujic 49'
  • yellowcard Chancel Mbemba 65'
  • yellowcard Vitinha 73'
  • yellowcard Francisco Conceicao 90'+2'

AC Milan vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 19, 2021 8.00pm
Porto 1 - 0 AC Milan

Porto

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 19, 2021 8.00pm
Porto 1 - 0 AC Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 33.8%
Draw 25.25%
Porto 40.95%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.41%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.8%
Under 2.5 47.2%
Over 3.5 30.56%
Under 3.5 69.43%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 73.17%
Under 0.5 26.82%
Over 1.5 37.88%
Under 1.5 62.12%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 77.08%
Under 0.5 22.91%
Over 1.5 43.32%
Under 1.5 56.68%

Score analysis

AC Milan 33.8%
Draw 25.24%
Porto 40.95%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 8.09%
2-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 5.32%
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.15%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.24%
Porto
0-1 @ 9.06%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 4.31%
0-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.95%

Head to Head

Champions League
Oct 19, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sergio Oliveira 3' yellowcard
  • Mateus Uribe 38' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 65' goal
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 16'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 20'
  • yellowcard Pierre Kalulu 81'
  • yellowcard Zlatan Ibrahimovic 87'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 90'