Champions League
Sep 28, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Franck Kessie 15' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 20' goal
  • Franck Kessie 29' redcard
  • Ante Rebic 29' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 69' yellowcard
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 60'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 84'
  • goal Luis Suarez 90'+7'

AC Milan vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 15, 2021 8.00pm
Liverpool 3 - 2 AC Milan

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 15, 2021 8.00pm
Atletico 0 - 0 Porto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 37.31%
Draw 26.17%
Atletico Madrid 36.51%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.65%

Goals

Over 2.5 49.09%
Under 2.5 50.91%
Over 3.5 27.21%
Under 3.5 72.78%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 73.48%
Under 0.5 26.52%
Over 1.5 38.28%
Under 1.5 61.72%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 73.02%
Under 0.5 26.98%
Over 1.5 37.68%
Under 1.5 62.32%

Score analysis

AC Milan 37.31%
Draw 26.17%
Atletico Madrid 36.51%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 6.3%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 37.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 9.37%
1-2 @ 8.15%
0-2 @ 6.14%
1-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 36.51%

Head to Head

Champions League
Mar 11, 2014 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Diego Costa 3' goal
  • Raul Garcia 5' yellowcard
  • Arda Turan 40' goal
  • Raul Garcia 71' goal
  • Diego Costa 85' goal
  • yellowcard Adil Rami 7'
  • goal Kaka 27'
  • yellowcard Mario Balotelli 45'
  • yellowcard Daniele Bonera 70'
  • yellowcard Robinho 74'
Champions League
Feb 19, 2014 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ignazio Abate 44' yellowcard
  • Daniele Bonera 61' yellowcard
  • Adil Rami 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emiliano Insua 20'
  • yellowcard Mario Suarez 41'
  • yellowcard Diego Costa 69'
  • goal Diego Costa 83'
  • yellowcard Adrian 90'