La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 25, 2021 at 1pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
1 - 0
Atletico

Laguardia (4')
Sylla (31'), N'Diaye (36')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Savic (17'), Trippier (53'), Kondogbia (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.67%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Atletico Madrid
18.09%	24.27%	57.64%

Both teams to score 44.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.82%

55.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.58%

76.42%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.45%

44.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.43%

80.57%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81%

19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.44%

50.56%

Score Analysis

Alaves 18.09%

Atletico Madrid 57.63%

Draw 24.26%

Alaves	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.85% 2-1 @ 4.6% 2-0 @ 2.77% 3-1 @ 1.24% 3-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.62% Total : 18.09%	1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.26%	0-1 @ 14.05% 0-2 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 5.22% 0-4 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.11% Other @ 3.82% Total : 57.63%

How you voted: Alaves vs Atletico

Alaves

6.9%

Draw

8.6%

Atletico Madrid

84.5%