Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 14.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
| 66.56% | 18.94% | 14.51% |
| Both teams to score 53.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.83% | 39.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.5% | 61.49% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.08% | 10.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.91% | 35.09% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.51% | 39.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.82% | 76.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
| 2-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.83% 1-0 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 7.81% 3-1 @ 7.26% 4-0 @ 4.32% 4-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.37% 5-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.87% 5-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 4.27% Total : 66.55% | 1-1 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 4.57% 0-0 @ 4.31% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.94% | 1-2 @ 4.12% 0-1 @ 4% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.41% 1-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.83% Total : 14.51% |