La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 29, 2021 at 9pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
2 - 2
Villarreal

Suarez (56'), Mandi (90+4' og.)
Simeone (16'), Correa (28'), Lemar (45'), Suarez (59'), De Paul (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Trigueros (52'), Danjuma (74')
Moreno (61'), Rulli (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.02%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Villarreal
47.02%	27.02%	25.97%

Both teams to score 46.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.35%

57.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.58%

78.42%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.46%

24.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.98%

59.02%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.06%

37.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.29%

74.71%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 47.02%

Villarreal 25.97%

Draw 27.01%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 13.08% 2-0 @ 9.19% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-0 @ 4.3% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-1 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.38% Total : 47.02%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 9.31% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.01%	0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 6.14% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.63% Total : 25.97%

How you voted: Atletico vs Villarreal

Atletico Madrid

76.9%

Draw

16.3%

Villarreal

6.9%