La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 18, 2021 at 3.15pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
0 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Kondogbia (36'), Felix (78'), Savic (79'), Cunha (90'), Gimenez (90+7')

Garcia (30'), Williams Arthuer (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 14.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.24%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
59.28%	25.99%	14.74%

Both teams to score 35.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.05%

64.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.14%

83.86%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71%

22.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.26%

55.74%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.07%

54.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.16%

87.84%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 59.27%

Athletic Bilbao 14.74%

Draw 25.99%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 18.37% 2-0 @ 13.79% 2-1 @ 8.26% 3-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 4.14% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.42% Total : 59.27%	0-0 @ 12.24% 1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 2.48% Other @ 0.26% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 7.33% 1-2 @ 3.3% 0-2 @ 2.2% Other @ 1.91% Total : 14.74%

How you voted: Atletico vs Athletic Bilbao

Atletico Madrid

77.1%

Draw

16.5%

Athletic Bilbao

6.4%