Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.24%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
59.28% | 25.99% | 14.74% |
Both teams to score 35.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.05% | 64.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.14% | 83.86% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.71% | 22.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.26% | 55.74% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.07% | 54.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.16% | 87.84% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 18.37% 2-0 @ 13.79% 2-1 @ 8.26% 3-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 4.14% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.42% Total : 59.27% | 0-0 @ 12.24% 1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 2.48% Other @ 0.26% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 7.33% 1-2 @ 3.3% 0-2 @ 2.2% Other @ 1.91% Total : 14.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 81 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |