Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | AC Milan |
21.38% | 21.98% | 56.63% |
Both teams to score 57.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.55% | 41.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.15% | 63.85% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.91% | 33.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.31% | 69.69% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.53% | 14.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.56% | 42.43% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 5.66% 1-0 @ 5.29% 2-0 @ 2.93% 3-1 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.39% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 5.47% 0-0 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 8.95% 1-3 @ 6.38% 0-3 @ 5.77% 2-3 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 3.08% 0-4 @ 2.79% 2-4 @ 1.7% 1-5 @ 1.19% 0-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.02% Total : 56.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |