Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 25, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
1 - 2
AC Milan

Verde (80')
Sala (25'), Nikolaou (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maldini (48'), Diaz (86')
Maldini (58'), Hernandez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	AC Milan
21.38%	21.98%	56.63%

Both teams to score 57.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.55%

41.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.15%

63.85%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.91%

33.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.31%

69.69%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.53%

14.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.56%

42.43%

Score Analysis

Spezia 21.39%

AC Milan 56.63%

Draw 21.98%

Spezia	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 5.66% 1-0 @ 5.29% 2-0 @ 2.93% 3-1 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.39%	1-1 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 5.47% 0-0 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.98%	1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 8.95% 1-3 @ 6.38% 0-3 @ 5.77% 2-3 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 3.08% 0-4 @ 2.79% 2-4 @ 1.7% 1-5 @ 1.19% 0-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.02% Total : 56.63%

How you voted: Spezia vs AC Milan

Spezia

5.8%

Draw

9.1%

AC Milan

85.1%