Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
0 - 1
AC Milan

Gabbiadini (33'), Murru (89'), Bereszynski (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Diaz (9')
Kjaer (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	AC Milan
30.98%	24.3%	44.71%

Both teams to score 58.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.1%

43.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.72%

66.28%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.02%

26.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.68%

62.32%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.21%

19.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.16%

51.84%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 30.98%

AC Milan 44.71%

Draw 24.3%

Sampdoria	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 7.42% 1-0 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 4.58% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.98%	1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.3%	1-2 @ 9.18% 0-1 @ 8.65% 0-2 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 4.96% 0-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.03% Total : 44.71%