Sampdoria

3 - 2

Alessandria

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for an Alessandria win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.