Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
3 - 0
Parma

Quagliarella (20'), Colley (44'), Gabbiadini (64')
Leris (48')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bani (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Parma had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Parma
46.13%	23.48%	30.38%

Both teams to score 61.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.66%

40.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.28%

62.71%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.22%

17.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.51%

48.48%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.4%

25.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.51%

60.48%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 46.13%

Parma 30.38%

Draw 23.48%

Sampdoria	Draw	Parma
2-1 @ 9.25% 1-0 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 5.33% 3-0 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 3.63% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.82% Total : 46.13%	1-1 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.48%	1-2 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.38%