Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 56.73%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 22.23% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | AC Milan |
56.73% | 21.04% | 22.23% |
Both teams to score 61.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.09% | 35.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42% | 58% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.39% | 12.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.29% | 38.72% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.79% | 29.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.84% | 65.16% |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 9.72% 2-0 @ 7.9% 1-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 6.71% 3-0 @ 5.45% 3-2 @ 4.13% 4-1 @ 3.47% 4-0 @ 2.82% 4-2 @ 2.14% 5-1 @ 1.44% 5-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 4.16% Total : 56.73% | 1-1 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 3.68% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.04% | 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-1 @ 4.53% 0-2 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.17% Total : 22.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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