Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Brahim Diaz 68' goal
  • Theo Hernandez 82' goal
  • yellowcard Francesco Forte 25'
  • yellowcard Mattia Caldara 77'

AC Milan vs Venezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus 1 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Venezia

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2021 2.00pm
Venezia 1 - 2 Spezia
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Thomas Henry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.7%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result

AC Milan 70.7%
Draw 18.03%
Venezia 11.26%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.18%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.99%
Under 2.5 43.01%
Over 3.5 34.58%
Under 3.5 65.41%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 89.08%
Under 0.5 10.91%
Over 1.5 64.91%
Under 1.5 35.09%

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5 52.96%
Under 0.5 47.04%
Over 1.5 17.48%
Under 1.5 82.51%

Score analysis

AC Milan 70.69%
Draw 18.03%
Venezia 11.26%
AC Milan
2-0 @ 12.59%
1-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 9.5%
3-0 @ 9.3%
3-1 @ 7.02%
4-0 @ 5.15%
4-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.65%
5-0 @ 2.28%
5-1 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 70.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.58%
0-0 @ 5.13%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 18.03%
Venezia
0-1 @ 3.87%
1-2 @ 3.24%
0-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 11.26%