Champions League
Sep 15, 2021 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Fikayo Tomori 9' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 49' goal
  • Jordan Henderson 69' goal
  • James Milner 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 13'
  • goal Ante Rebic 42'
  • goal Brahim Diaz 44'
  • yellowcard Brahim Diaz 61'

Liverpool vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

AC Milan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 22.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result

Liverpool 53.64%
Draw 24.12%
AC Milan 22.23%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.42%

Goals

Over 2.5 50.28%
Under 2.5 49.72%
Over 3.5 28.27%
Under 3.5 71.73%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 81.53%
Under 0.5 18.46%
Over 1.5 50.34%
Under 1.5 49.65%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 63.06%
Under 0.5 36.93%
Over 1.5 26.27%
Under 1.5 73.72%

Score analysis

Liverpool 53.64%
Draw 24.12%
AC Milan 22.23%
Liverpool
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-0 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 2.31%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 53.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6.82%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.12%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 3.38%
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 22.23%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 31, 2016 3.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Levi's Stadium
  • Adam Lallana 40' yellowcard
  • Divock Origi 59' goal
  • Roberto Firmino 73' goal
Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 2, 2014 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joe Allen 17' goal
  • Suso 90' goal

Build-up

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