Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Sep 12, 2021 at 5pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
2 - 0
Lazio

Leao (45'), Ibrahimovic (67')
Bakayoko (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Marusic (17'), Reina (45+5'), Alberto (45+7'), Hysaj (57')
Sarri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Lazio
51.16%	23.79%	25.04%

Both teams to score 55.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.42%

45.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.1%

67.9%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16%

17.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.4%

48.59%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.83%

32.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.35%

68.65%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 51.16%

Lazio 25.04%

Draw 23.79%

AC Milan	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.61% Total : 51.16%	1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.79%	0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.6% Total : 25.04%