Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
2 - 2
Roma

Verde (6'), Pobega (38')

FT(HT: 2-0)

El Shaarawy (52'), Mkhitaryan (85')
Kumbulla (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Roma
34.88%	23.18%	41.94%

Both teams to score 64.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.86%

37.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.66%

59.34%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51%

21.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.46%

54.54%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.8%

18.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.79%

49.22%

Score Analysis

Spezia 34.88%

Roma 41.94%

Draw 23.17%

Spezia	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 7.88% 1-0 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.88%	1-1 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 6.71% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.17%	1-2 @ 8.73% 0-1 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.11% 2-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.77% Total : 41.94%

How you voted: Spezia vs Roma

Spezia

18.5%

Draw

7.4%

Roma

74.1%