Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Spezia |
| 44.71% | 25.1% | 30.2% |
| Both teams to score 55.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.22% | 47.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% | 69.97% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% | 21.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.62% | 54.38% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% | 29.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.56% | 65.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.71% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.3% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.7% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.2% |