La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2021 at 1pm UK
Estadi Cornellà-El Prat
Espanyol1 - 2Atletico
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 29.93% | 27.44% | 42.63% |
| Both teams to score 48.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
