Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.43%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 24.4% | 30.63% | 44.97% |
| Both teams to score 36.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.58% | 69.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.14% | 86.86% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.82% | 46.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.14% | 81.86% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% | 31.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.39% | 67.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 5.01% 2-0 @ 4.31% 3-1 @ 1.29% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.53% Total : 24.4% | 0-0 @ 14.43% 1-1 @ 12.96% 2-2 @ 2.91% Other @ 0.31% Total : 30.61% | 0-1 @ 16.78% 0-2 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-3 @ 3.78% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.94% Total : 44.96% |