Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 19, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
1 - 0
AC Milan

Diaz (65')
Oliveira (3'), Uribe (38')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tomori (16'), Giroud (20'), Kalulu (81'), Ibrahimovic (87'), Leao (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Porto and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	AC Milan
38.8%	24.91%	36.29%

Both teams to score 58.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.74%

45.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.4%

67.6%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.86%

23.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.99%

57%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.53%

24.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.08%

58.92%

Score Analysis

Porto 38.8%

AC Milan 36.29%

Draw 24.9%

Porto	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 8.54% 1-0 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.8%	1-1 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9%	1-2 @ 8.21% 0-1 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.92% Total : 36.29%