Champions League
Oct 19, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sergio Oliveira 3' yellowcard
  • Mateus Uribe 38' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 65' goal
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 16'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 20'
  • yellowcard Pierre Kalulu 81'
  • yellowcard Zlatan Ibrahimovic 87'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 90'

Porto vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 28, 2021 8.00pm
Porto 1 - 5 Liverpool

AC Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 28, 2021 8.00pm
AC Milan 1 - 2 Atletico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result

Porto 38.8%
Draw 24.91%
AC Milan 36.29%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.05%

Goals

Over 2.5 54.74%
Under 2.5 45.26%
Over 3.5 32.4%
Under 3.5 67.6%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 76.86%
Under 0.5 23.14%
Over 1.5 42.99%
Under 1.5 57%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 75.53%
Under 0.5 24.47%
Over 1.5 41.08%
Under 1.5 58.92%

Score analysis

Porto 38.8%
Draw 24.9%
AC Milan 36.29%
Porto
2-1 @ 8.54%
1-0 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.08%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 38.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
AC Milan
1-2 @ 8.21%
0-1 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 36.29%