Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
