Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
3 - 2
Hellas Verona

Giroud (59'), Kessie (76' pen.), Gunter (78' og.)
Ballo-Toure (81')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Caprari (7'), Barak (24' pen.)
Ceccherini (5'), Kalinic (25'), Casale (38'), Veloso (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Hellas Verona
63.25%	20.7%	16.04%

Both teams to score 51.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.89%

44.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.51%

66.49%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.7%

13.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.87%

40.13%

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.5%

40.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.89%

77.11%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 63.24%

Hellas Verona 16.04%

Draw 20.7%

AC Milan	Draw	Hellas Verona
2-0 @ 10.96% 1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 6.66% 4-0 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.5% 5-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.01% Total : 63.24%	1-1 @ 9.82% 0-0 @ 5.39% 2-2 @ 4.48% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.7%	0-1 @ 4.87% 1-2 @ 4.44% 0-2 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.35% 1-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.85% Total : 16.04%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Hellas Verona

AC Milan

82.6%

Draw

9.1%

Hellas Verona

8.3%