Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Hellas Verona |
63.25% | 20.7% | 16.04% |
Both teams to score 51.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.89% | 44.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.51% | 66.49% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.7% | 13.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.87% | 40.13% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.5% | 40.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.89% | 77.11% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Hellas Verona |
2-0 @ 10.96% 1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 6.66% 4-0 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.5% 5-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.01% Total : 63.24% | 1-1 @ 9.82% 0-0 @ 5.39% 2-2 @ 4.48% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.7% | 0-1 @ 4.87% 1-2 @ 4.44% 0-2 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.35% 1-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.85% Total : 16.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |