Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | AC Milan |
| 47.87% | 25.11% | 27.02% |
| Both teams to score 53.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% | 49.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% | 71.67% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% | 20.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% | 53.4% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.25% | 32.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.69% | 69.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.4% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.87% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.59% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.53% Total : 27.02% |