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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Milan logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
AC Milan

Zapata (86' pen.), Pasalic (90+4')
de Roon (40')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Calabria (1'), Tonali (43'), Leao (78')
Diaz (42'), Tomori (52'), Messias (85'), Leao (88'), Pioli (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
47.87%25.11%27.02%
Both teams to score 53.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35%49.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33%71.67%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24%20.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.6%53.4%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25%32.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69%69.31%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 47.87%
    AC Milan 27.02%
    Draw 25.11%
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 8.4%
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-0 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.87%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.59%
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 4.24%
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 27.02%

How you voted: Atalanta vs AC Milan

Atalanta BC
41.6%
Draw
21.7%
AC Milan
36.6%
161
rhs 2.0


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