Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 18, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
0 - 1
Atalanta

Djuric (45'), Ranieri (60'), Obi (73'), Jaroszynski (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Zapata (75')
Maehle (16'), Toloi (38'), Demiral (45'), Malinovskyi (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Atalanta BC
20.19%	22.3%	57.51%

Both teams to score 54.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.52%

44.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.15%

66.84%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.01%

35.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.23%

72.77%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.79%

15.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.15%

43.85%

Score Analysis

Salernitana 20.19%

Atalanta BC 57.5%

Draw 22.3%

Salernitana	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 5.59% 2-1 @ 5.38% 2-0 @ 2.86% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.73% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.82% Total : 20.19%	1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 5.47% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.3%	0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.71% 1-3 @ 6.23% 0-3 @ 6.1% 2-3 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2.93% 0-4 @ 2.87% 2-4 @ 1.5% 1-5 @ 1.11% 0-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.5%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Atalanta

Salernitana

13.7%

Draw

9.5%

Atalanta BC

76.8%