Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
