Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 22, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
3 - 2
Salernitana

De Silvestri (59', 77'), Arnautovic (75')
Soriano (41'), Schouten (55'), Bonifazi (87'), Sansone (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bonazzoli (52' pen.), Coulibaly (70')
Strandberg (33'), Jaroszynski (79')
Strandberg (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Salernitana
50.52%	23.03%	26.45%

Both teams to score 59.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.11%

40.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.72%

63.28%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.66%

16.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.07%

45.93%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.42%

28.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.63%

64.37%

Score Analysis

Bologna 50.52%

Salernitana 26.45%

Draw 23.02%

Bologna	Draw	Salernitana
2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 5.8% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.63% 4-1 @ 2.63% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.43% Total : 50.52%	1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.02%	1-2 @ 6.64% 0-1 @ 5.85% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.5% Total : 26.45%

How you voted: Bologna vs Salernitana

Bologna

52.6%

Draw

36.8%

Salernitana

10.5%