Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Roma had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Roma win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Roma |
61.39% | 19.96% | 18.65% |
Both teams to score 59.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64% | 36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.9% | 58.1% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.66% | 11.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.97% | 36.03% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% | 32.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.85% | 69.15% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 7.12% 3-0 @ 6.36% 3-2 @ 3.99% 4-1 @ 3.88% 4-0 @ 3.46% 4-2 @ 2.17% 5-1 @ 1.69% 5-0 @ 1.51% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.63% Total : 61.39% | 1-1 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 5.5% 0-0 @ 3.7% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.96% | 1-2 @ 5.06% 0-1 @ 4.15% 0-2 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.18% Total : 18.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |