Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 15, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
3 - 4
Atalanta

Shomurodov (48', 84'), Pandev (67' pen.)
Rovella (88')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Zapata (9'), Malinovskyi (26'), Gosens (44'), Pasalic (51')
Djimsiti (62'), Toloi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 11.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Atalanta BC
11.78%	17.09%	71.13%

Both teams to score 52.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.93%

37.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.73%

59.28%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.76%

42.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.36%

78.65%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.77%

9.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.77%

31.23%

Score Analysis

Genoa 11.78%

Atalanta BC 71.13%

Draw 17.09%

Genoa	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 3.45% 1-0 @ 3.36% 2-0 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.18% 3-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.35% Total : 11.78%	1-1 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 4.11% 0-0 @ 3.9% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.09%	0-2 @ 11.07% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-1 @ 9.29% 0-3 @ 8.79% 1-3 @ 7.58% 0-4 @ 5.24% 1-4 @ 4.51% 2-3 @ 3.27% 0-5 @ 2.5% 1-5 @ 2.15% 2-4 @ 1.95% 0-6 @ 0.99% 2-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.34% Total : 71.13%