Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Sep 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia

Atalanta
1 - 2
Fiorentina

Zapata (65' pen.)
Maehle (31'), Zapata (45+2'), Gosens (76'), Freuler (86'), Luis Palomino (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vlahovic (33' pen., 49' pen.)
Bonaventura (45+2'), Julio (56'), Milenkovic (74'), Odriozola (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 14.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Fiorentina
66.54%	19.41%	14.05%

Both teams to score 50.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.6%

42.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.19%

64.81%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.15%

11.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.87%

37.12%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.82%

42.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.41%

78.59%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 66.53%

Fiorentina 14.05%

Draw 19.41%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Fiorentina
2-0 @ 11.36% 1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 6.98% 4-0 @ 4.31% 4-1 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 3.01% 5-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.57% Total : 66.53%	1-1 @ 9.2% 0-0 @ 5% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.41%	0-1 @ 4.32% 1-2 @ 3.97% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.22% 1-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.53% Total : 14.05%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Fiorentina

Atalanta BC

77.0%

Draw

13.3%

Fiorentina

9.7%