Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia

Atalanta
2 - 1
Sassuolo

Gosens (3'), Zappacosta (37')
Malinovskyi (61'), Pezzella (74')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Berardi (44')
Marco Ferrari (25'), Lopez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 17.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Sassuolo
62.04%	20.35%	17.6%

Both teams to score 56.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.36%

39.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.01%

61.99%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.73%

12.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62%

38%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.08%

35.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.3%

72.7%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 62.05%

Sassuolo 17.6%

Draw 20.35%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.7% 1-0 @ 9.25% 3-1 @ 6.95% 3-0 @ 6.79% 4-1 @ 3.65% 4-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-2 @ 1.87% 5-1 @ 1.53% 5-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.78% Total : 62.05%	1-1 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 5.09% 0-0 @ 4.41% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.35%	1-2 @ 4.85% 0-1 @ 4.51% 0-2 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.74% 1-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.55% Total : 17.6%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Sassuolo

Atalanta BC

78.1%

Draw

13.6%

Sassuolo

8.3%