Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 51.38% | 23.6% | 25.02% |
| Both teams to score 56.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.26% | 44.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.9% | 67.1% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% | 17.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.09% | 47.91% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% | 31.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.85% | 68.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 8.44% 3-1 @ 5.64% 3-0 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.79% Total : 51.38% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 5.56% 0-0 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 6.37% 0-1 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.69% Total : 25.02% |