Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 28, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
1 - 5
Liverpool

Taremi (75')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Salah (18', 60'), Mane (45'), Firmino (77', 81')

Reaction

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Sep 28, 22:44

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Porto	Draw	Liverpool
48.14%	24.08%	27.77%

Both teams to score 57.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.3%

44.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.94%

67.06%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.31%

18.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.98%

50.02%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.41%

29.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.38%

65.61%

Score Analysis

Porto 48.14%

Liverpool 27.77%

Draw 24.08%

Porto	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 9.47% 1-0 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-0 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.35% Total : 48.14%	1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.08%	1-2 @ 6.88% 0-1 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 4.1% 1-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 3.27% Total : 27.77%