Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Oct 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 4
AC Milan

Ibrahimovic (49' og.), Barrow (52')
Arnautovic (34')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Leao (16'), Calabria (35'), Bennacer (84'), Ibrahimovic (90')
Tonali (45+1'), Calabria (61'), Saelemaekers (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	AC Milan
33.92%	24.54%	41.54%

Both teams to score 58.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.03%

43.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.64%

66.36%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.78%

25.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.04%

59.96%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.76%

21.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.85%

54.14%

Score Analysis

Bologna 33.92%

AC Milan 41.54%

Draw 24.54%

Bologna	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 7.88% 1-0 @ 7.38% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.92%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.54%	1-2 @ 8.86% 0-1 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.64% Total : 41.54%

How you voted: Bologna vs AC Milan

Bologna

11.9%

Draw

22.6%

AC Milan

65.5%