Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.35%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.27%) and 3-0 (11.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Boavista |
77.35% | 15.59% | 7.06% |
Both teams to score 37.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.43% | 45.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.1% | 67.89% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.11% | 9.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.23% | 32.77% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42% | 58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.4% | 89.59% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Boavista |
2-0 @ 15.35% 1-0 @ 13.27% 3-0 @ 11.84% 2-1 @ 8.36% 4-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 6.45% 4-1 @ 3.73% 5-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.73% 6-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.59% Total : 77.34% | 1-1 @ 7.23% 0-0 @ 5.73% 2-2 @ 2.28% Other @ 0.35% Total : 15.59% | 0-1 @ 3.12% 1-2 @ 1.97% Other @ 1.97% Total : 7.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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