Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 30, 2021 at 5pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
4 - 1
Boavista

Diaz (21'), Evanilson (41', 47'), Loader (90+6')
Pepe (60'), Otavio (61'), Taremi (62'), Marcano (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Hamache (30')
Musa (26'), Sauer (38'), Gorre (57'), Perez (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.35%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.27%) and 3-0 (11.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Boavista
77.35%	15.59%	7.06%

Both teams to score 37.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.43%

45.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.1%

67.89%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.11%

9.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.23%

32.77%

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42%

58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.4%

89.59%

Score Analysis

Porto 77.34%

Boavista 7.06%

Draw 15.59%

Porto	Draw	Boavista
2-0 @ 15.35% 1-0 @ 13.27% 3-0 @ 11.84% 2-1 @ 8.36% 4-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 6.45% 4-1 @ 3.73% 5-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.73% 6-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.59% Total : 77.34%	1-1 @ 7.23% 0-0 @ 5.73% 2-2 @ 2.28% Other @ 0.35% Total : 15.59%	0-1 @ 3.12% 1-2 @ 1.97% Other @ 1.97% Total : 7.06%